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Egypt Cup

Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tanta TantavsSporting Alexandria Sporting Alexandria
Our predictionTanta to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Tanta at 56%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Tanta56%
Draw28%
2 · Sporting Alexandria16%
1 · TantaDraw2 · Sporting Alexandria
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.16+2.3%
1X2Tanta1.62+0.4%
1X2Sporting Alexandria5.46-0.1%
1X2Draw3.24-0.2%
BTTSNo1.59-2.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Tanta
64
Sporting Alexandria
40

Most likely scorelines

1-013.4%
2-012.8%
1-110.0%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.91Tanta
xG
0.74Sporting Alexandria
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score45%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tanta Sporting Alexandria

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Tanta win1.62Fair
Double chanceTanta or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
113104
213104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Tanta at 56%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Sporting Alexandria at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Tanta. Tanta is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.24. Sporting Alexandria is priced at 5.46.

The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tanta or Sporting Alexandria?

Our model rates Tanta as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

6.325.123.922.711.51
Home 1.62 Draw 3.24 Away 5.46

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.