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Thailand. FA Cup

Khon Kaen United vs Siam Navy: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Khon Kaen United Khon Kaen UnitedvsSiam Navy Siam Navy
Our predictionKhon Kaen United to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Khon Kaen United at 77%. The model leans toward Khon Kaen United. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Khon Kaen United77%
Draw16%
2 · Siam Navy7%
1 · Khon Kaen UnitedDraw2 · Siam Navy
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.75+23.3%
1X2Khon Kaen United1.17+0.2%
1X2Siam Navy12.60-0.1%
1X2Draw5.75-0.1%
BTTSYes1.93-23.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Khon Kaen United
83
Siam Navy
34

Expected goals

2.06Khon Kaen United
xG
0.32Siam Navy
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score24%

Recent form

Khon Kaen UnitedWLW
Siam Navy

Most likely scorelines

2-019.5%
1-019.0%
3-013.4%
0-09.2%
4-06.9%
2-16.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Khon Kaen United Siam Navy

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Khon Kaen United win1.17Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
093
11961
22061
3134
472
53

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Khon Kaen United at 77%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Siam Navy at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Khon Kaen United. Khon Kaen United is priced at 1.169. The draw is priced at 5.75. Siam Navy is priced at 12.6.

Khon Kaen United have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Khon Kaen United or Siam Navy?

Our model rates Khon Kaen United as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Khon Kaen United vs Siam Navy?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

13.8610.677.474.281.08
Home 1.17 Draw 5.75 Away 12.60

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.