Nojima Stella (Women) vs AS Elfen Saitama (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nojima Stella (Women)vs
AS Elfen Saitama (Women)The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 47%. The model leans toward Nojima Stella (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nojima Stella (Women).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nojima Stella (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nojima Stella (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 47%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts AS Elfen Saitama (Women) at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Nojima Stella (Women). Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 2. The draw is priced at 3.34. AS Elfen Saitama (Women) is priced at 3.23.
Nojima Stella (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nojima Stella (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nojima Stella (Women) are on 2 wins in a row. AS Elfen Saitama (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nojima Stella (Women) or AS Elfen Saitama (Women)?
Our model rates Nojima Stella (Women) as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nojima Stella (Women) vs AS Elfen Saitama (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Nojima Stella (Women) wins, 3 draws, 5 AS Elfen Saitama (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nojima Stella (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 10 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 11 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.