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Japan. League Cup. Women

Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) vs Nagano Parceiro (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)vsNagano Parceiro (Women) Nagano Parceiro (Women)
Our predictionUrawa Red Diamonds (Women) to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) at 74%. The model leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds (Women). Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)74%
Draw16%
2 · Nagano Parceiro (Women)9%
1 · Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)Draw2 · Nagano Parceiro (Women)
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)1.25+2.1%
1X2Nagano Parceiro (Women)8.90-0.8%
1X2Draw5.10-1.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)LLWWW
Nagano Parceiro (Women)LLDDL
Team strength rating
Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)
78
Nagano Parceiro (Women)
20

Most likely scorelines

2-017.3%
1-015.4%
3-013.0%
2-17.5%
4-07.3%
0-06.8%

Expected goals

2.25Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)
xG
0.43Nagano Parceiro (Women)
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score32%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) Nagano Parceiro (Women)

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) win1.25Fair (+2.1%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11571
21782
31361
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) at 74%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Nagano Parceiro (Women) at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds (Women). Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) is priced at 1.25. The draw is priced at 5.1. Nagano Parceiro (Women) is priced at 8.9.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have won 13 of the head-to-head meetings. Nagano Parceiro (Women) have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nagano Parceiro (Women) have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) or Nagano Parceiro (Women)?

Our model rates Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) vs Nagano Parceiro (Women)?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 13 Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) wins, 1 draws, 1 Nagano Parceiro (Women) wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Japan. League Cup. Women
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Nojima Stella (Women)22004:16
2RB Omiya Ardija (Women)22004:16
3NTV Beleza (Women)22004:26
4JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)22004:26
5Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)21103:23
6AS Elfen Saitama (Women)21103:33
7Cerezo Osaka (Women)21103:33
8MyNavi Sendai (Women)21101:23
9Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)20203:50
10INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women)20203:50
11Albirex Niigata (Women)20201:40
12Nagano Parceiro (Women)20200:30
Promotion - Japan. League Cup. Women (Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - Japan. League Cup. Women (Play-off: Round of 8)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.