Nottingham Forest (Women) vs Aston Villa (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nottingham Forest (Women)vs
Aston Villa (Women)The model puts Aston Villa (Women) at 55%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Aston Villa (Women) is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Nottingham Forest (Women) at 22%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Aston Villa (Women) at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Aston Villa (Women). Nottingham Forest (Women) is priced at 4.245. The draw is priced at 3.85. Aston Villa (Women) is priced at 1.63.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nottingham Forest (Women) or Aston Villa (Women)?
Our model rates Aston Villa (Women) as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nottingham Forest (Women) vs Aston Villa (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
England. FA Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Everton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Bristol City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Birmingham City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Liverpool (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Watford (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Nottingham Forest (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  West Ham United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Durham (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sunderland (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tottenham Hotspur (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Brighton & Hove Albion (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Leicester City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Sheffield United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ipswich Town (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Burnley (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Manchester United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 |  London City Lionesses (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Southampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.