Everton (Women) vs Birmingham City (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Everton (Women)vs
Birmingham City (Women)The model puts Everton (Women) at 48%. The model leans toward Everton (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Everton (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours Birmingham City (Women) (4-4-7).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Everton (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Birmingham City (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Everton (Women) is priced at 1.94.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Everton (Women) at 48%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Birmingham City (Women) at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Everton (Women). Everton (Women) is priced at 1.94. The draw is priced at 3.3. Birmingham City (Women) is priced at 3.44.
Everton (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Birmingham City (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Everton (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Everton (Women) are on 2 wins in a row. Birmingham City (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Everton (Women) or Birmingham City (Women)?
Our model rates Everton (Women) as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Everton (Women) vs Birmingham City (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Everton (Women) wins, 4 draws, 7 Birmingham City (Women) wins.
League table
England. FA Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Bristol City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Birmingham City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Liverpool (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Watford (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  West Ham United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Durham (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sunderland (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tottenham Hotspur (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Brighton & Hove Albion (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Leicester City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Sheffield United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ipswich Town (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Burnley (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Manchester United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 |  London City Lionesses (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Southampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.