Liverpool (Women) vs Sunderland (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Liverpool (Women)vs
Sunderland (Women)The model puts Liverpool (Women) at 75%. The model leans toward Liverpool (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Liverpool (Women) (8-2-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Liverpool (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sunderland (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Liverpool (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Liverpool (Women) is priced at 1.232.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Liverpool (Women) at 75%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Sunderland (Women) at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Liverpool (Women). Liverpool (Women) is priced at 1.232. The draw is priced at 5.5. Sunderland (Women) is priced at 9.8.
Liverpool (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Sunderland (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Liverpool (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sunderland (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Liverpool (Women) or Sunderland (Women)?
Our model rates Liverpool (Women) as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Liverpool (Women) vs Sunderland (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 8 Liverpool (Women) wins, 2 draws, 2 Sunderland (Women) wins.
League table
England. FA Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Everton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Bristol City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Birmingham City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liverpool (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Watford (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  West Ham United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Durham (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sunderland (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tottenham Hotspur (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Brighton & Hove Albion (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Leicester City (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Sheffield United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ipswich Town (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Burnley (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Manchester United (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 |  London City Lionesses (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Southampton (Women) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.