Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kyoto Sangavs
RatchaburiThe model puts Kyoto Sanga at 65%. The model leans toward Kyoto Sanga. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ratchaburi.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Kyoto Sanga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ratchaburi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kyoto Sanga is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kyoto Sanga at 65%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Ratchaburi at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Kyoto Sanga. Kyoto Sanga is priced at 1.42. The draw is priced at 4.74. Ratchaburi is priced at 7.2.
Kyoto Sanga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ratchaburi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kyoto Sanga or Ratchaburi?
Our model rates Kyoto Sanga as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kyoto Sanga vs Ratchaburi?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Darul Takzim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Port | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hanoi Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.