Oman Club vs Sur Club: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Oman Clubvs
Sur ClubThe model puts Sur Club at 46%. The model leans toward Sur Club. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Oman Club have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sur Club have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oman Club have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sur Club is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Oman Club at 26%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Sur Club at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sur Club. Oman Club is priced at 3.49. The draw is priced at 3.34. Sur Club is priced at 1.91.
Oman Club have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Sur Club have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Oman Club have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sur Club have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Oman Club or Sur Club?
Our model rates Sur Club as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Oman Club vs Sur Club?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Oman Club wins, 1 draws, 8 Sur Club wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Oman Club make it count (Unknown (22')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Oman Club 1 – 0 Sur Club.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Dhofar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Oman Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Sur Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 5 |  Fanja | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 6 |  Al-Nasr S.C. | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 7 |  Samail | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.