Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Haitivs
Trinidad and TobagoThe model puts Haiti at 56%. The model leans toward Haiti. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Haiti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Trinidad and Tobago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Haiti have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Haiti is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Haiti at 56%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Trinidad and Tobago at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Haiti. Haiti is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.68. Trinidad and Tobago is priced at 5.27.
Haiti have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Trinidad and Tobago have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Haiti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Trinidad and Tobago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Haiti or Trinidad and Tobago?
Our model rates Haiti as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Haiti wins, 3 draws, 6 Trinidad and Tobago wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a80aff87762417de82f9092 |
| 5 |  Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a80aff87762417de82f9092 |
| 6 |  Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.