Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dominican Republicvs
NicaraguaThe model puts Dominican Republic at 52%. The model leans toward Dominican Republic. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Nicaragua (1-1-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dominican Republic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nicaragua have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dominican Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dominican Republic is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Dominican Republic at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Nicaragua at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dominican Republic. Dominican Republic is priced at 1.76. The draw is priced at 3.48. Nicaragua is priced at 4.455.
Dominican Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Nicaragua have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dominican Republic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Nicaragua have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dominican Republic or Nicaragua?
Our model rates Dominican Republic as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Dominican Republic wins, 1 draws, 2 Nicaragua wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a80aff87762417de82f9092 |
| 5 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a80aff87762417de82f9092 |
| 6 |  Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.