El Salvador vs Martinique: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
El Salvadorvs
MartiniqueThe model puts El Salvador at 52%. The model leans toward El Salvador. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours El Salvador.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- El Salvador have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- El Salvador have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- El Salvador is priced at 1.84.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts El Salvador at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Martinique at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward El Salvador. El Salvador is priced at 1.84. The draw is priced at 3.6. Martinique is priced at 4.165.
El Salvador have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Martinique have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
El Salvador have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, El Salvador or Martinique?
Our model rates El Salvador as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for El Salvador vs Martinique?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 El Salvador wins, 1 draws, 3 Martinique wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.