CONCACAF Nations League

Grenada vs Cuba: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Grenadavs

Cuba

Our predictionGrenada to win

Model score: Low · 1/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Grenada at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Cuba.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · Grenada35%

Draw31%

2 · Cuba34%

1 · GrenadaDraw2 · Cuba

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.85+2.5%

1X2Cuba2.94+2.5%

O/U 2.5Under 2.51.61+1.9%

1X2Draw2.90-0.7%

1X2Grenada2.52-1.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.16Grenada

1.14Cuba

Over 2.5 goals40%

Both teams to score47%

Recent form

GrenadaLLLLW

CubaDDWWL

Most likely scorelines

1-113.3%

1-011.6%

0-111.4%

0-010.0%

2-17.7%

1-27.6%

Team strength rating

Grenada

Cuba

Match DNA

Grenada Cuba

Key points

Grenada have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cuba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Grenada have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Grenada is priced at 2.52.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Grenada win2.52Fair (-1.8%)

Double chanceGrenada or draw—Info

Total goalsUnder 2.51.61Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	10	11	7	2
1	12	13	8	3
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Grenada at 35%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Cuba at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Grenada is priced at 2.52. The draw is priced at 2.9. Cuba is priced at 2.936.

Grenada have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Cuba have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Grenada have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Cuba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →