VfB Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfB Stuttgartvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts VfB Stuttgart at 74%. The model leans toward VfB Stuttgart. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours VfB Stuttgart (10-1-4).
- +Recent form favours VfB Stuttgart.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfB Stuttgart have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.315.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfB Stuttgart at 74%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfB Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.315. The draw is priced at 5.8. Greuther Furth is priced at 8.1.
VfB Stuttgart have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. Greuther Furth have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfB Stuttgart or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates VfB Stuttgart as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 VfB Stuttgart wins, 1 draws, 4 Greuther Furth wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.