← All predictions
CONCACAF Nations League

Cayman Islands vs Dominica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Cayman Islands Cayman IslandsvsDominica Dominica
Our predictionDominica to win
Model score: Medium · 41/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Dominica at 64%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Cayman Islands14%
Draw22%
2 · Dominica64%
1 · Cayman IslandsDraw2 · Dominica
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.77+6.4%
1X2Cayman Islands6.490.0%
1X2Draw4.200.0%
1X2Dominica1.450.0%
BTTSYes1.94-6.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Cayman Islands
39
Dominica
68

Most likely scorelines

0-114.4%
0-214.0%
1-19.5%
1-29.2%
0-39.1%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

0.66Cayman Islands
xG
1.94Dominica
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score41%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Cayman Islands Dominica

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dominica win1.45Fair
Double chanceDominica or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071414942
1599631
22332
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Cayman Islands at 14%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Dominica at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Dominica. Cayman Islands is priced at 6.49. The draw is priced at 4.2. Dominica is priced at 1.454.

The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Cayman Islands or Dominica?

Our model rates Dominica as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Cayman Islands vs Dominica?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

CONCACAF Nations League. League B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Guyana00000:00
2Dominica00000:00
3Cayman Islands00000:00
4Puerto Rico00000:00
Promotion Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.