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Mexico. Liga MX. Women

Tigres de la UANL (Women) vs Atletico San Luis (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tigres de la UANL (Women) Tigres de la UANL (Women)vsAtletico San Luis (Women) Atletico San Luis (Women)
Our predictionTigres de la UANL (Women) to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Tigres de la UANL (Women) at 83%. The model leans toward Tigres de la UANL (Women). Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Tigres de la UANL (Women)83%
Draw9%
2 · Atletico San Luis (Women)8%
1 · Tigres de la UANL (Women)Draw2 · Atletico San Luis (Women)
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Atletico San Luis (Women)17.50+3.4%
1X2Draw9.90-0.4%
1X2Tigres de la UANL (Women)1.04-3.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Tigres de la UANL (Women)LWWLW
Atletico San Luis (Women)WLLLW
Team strength rating
Tigres de la UANL (Women)
72
Atletico San Luis (Women)
44

Most likely scorelines

2-019.1%
1-016.1%
3-015.2%
4-09.0%
0-06.7%
2-16.0%

Expected goals

2.38Tigres de la UANL (Women)
xG
0.31Atletico San Luis (Women)
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score25%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tigres de la UANL (Women) Atletico San Luis (Women)

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Tigres de la UANL (Women) win1.04Fair (-3.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
072
1165
2196
3155
493
541

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Tigres de la UANL (Women) at 83%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Atletico San Luis (Women) at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Tigres de la UANL (Women). Tigres de la UANL (Women) is priced at 1.036. The draw is priced at 9.9. Atletico San Luis (Women) is priced at 17.5.

Atletico San Luis (Women) have won 13 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Tigres de la UANL (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico San Luis (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tigres de la UANL (Women) or Atletico San Luis (Women)?

Our model rates Tigres de la UANL (Women) as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tigres de la UANL (Women) vs Atletico San Luis (Women)?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 14 meetings: 0 Tigres de la UANL (Women) wins, 1 draws, 13 Atletico San Luis (Women) wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Monterrey (Women)981035:1024
2Tigres de la UANL (Women)871028:821
3Juarez (Women)972014:621
4Toluca (Women)852119:1516
5Leon (Women)844015:1212
6Santos Laguna (Women)945012:2012
7Cruz Azul (Women)945011:2112
8Atlante (Women)82606:126
9Queretaro (Women)927010:216
Promotion - Mexico. Liga MX. Women (Apertura - Play-off)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.