Tigres de la UANL (Women) vs Atletico San Luis (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Tigres de la UANL (Women) at 83%. The model leans toward Tigres de la UANL (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Atletico San Luis (Women) (0-1-13).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tigres de la UANL (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tigres de la UANL (Women) is priced at 1.036.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tigres de la UANL (Women) at 83%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Atletico San Luis (Women) at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Tigres de la UANL (Women). Tigres de la UANL (Women) is priced at 1.036. The draw is priced at 9.9. Atletico San Luis (Women) is priced at 17.5.
Atletico San Luis (Women) have won 13 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tigres de la UANL (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico San Luis (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tigres de la UANL (Women) or Atletico San Luis (Women)?
Our model rates Tigres de la UANL (Women) as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tigres de la UANL (Women) vs Atletico San Luis (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 0 Tigres de la UANL (Women) wins, 1 draws, 13 Atletico San Luis (Women) wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX. Women - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35:10 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28:8 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 21 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:12 | 12 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:20 | 12 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11:21 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 10:21 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.