Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fleetwood Townvs
ArsenalThe model puts Arsenal at 87%. The model leans toward Arsenal. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Arsenal is priced at 1.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 11 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Fleetwood Town at 4%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Arsenal at 87%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-4.
The market leans toward Arsenal. Fleetwood Town is priced at 27. The draw is priced at 11.5. Arsenal is priced at 1.07.
Fleetwood Town average 2 goals per game this season. Fleetwood Town average 36% possession. Arsenal average 4 goals per game this season. Arsenal average 59% possession.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 87% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fleetwood Town or Arsenal?
Our model rates Arsenal as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
A scoreline around 0-4 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.