Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mes Rafsanjanvs
Besat KermanshahThe model puts Mes Rafsanjan at 34%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Mes Rafsanjan is priced at 2.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mes Rafsanjan at 34%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Besat Kermanshah at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Mes Rafsanjan is priced at 2.63. The draw is priced at 2.76. Besat Kermanshah is priced at 2.63.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mes Rafsanjan or Besat Kermanshah?
Our model rates Mes Rafsanjan as the most likely outcome at 34% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
Iran. Azadegan League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saipa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Pars Jonoubi Jam | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Fard Alborz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 6 | Besat Kermanshah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 8 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Niroye Zamini | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Kara Gostar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Mes Rafsanjan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Sanat Mes Kerman | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 14 |  Foolad Khuzestan II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Naft Gachsaran | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.