Saham vs Al-Musannah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sahamvs
Al-MusannahThe model puts Saham at 39%. The model puts Al-Musannah at 31%. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- Saham have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Musannah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Saham have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Musannah have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Saham at 39%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Al-Musannah at 31%.
Saham have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Musannah have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Saham have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Musannah have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 52% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Saham or Al-Musannah?
Our model rates Saham as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Saham vs Al-Musannah?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 5 Saham wins, 1 draws, 5 Al-Musannah wins.
Odds movement
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Sur Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 3 |  Dhofar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Oman Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Fanja | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 6 |  Al-Nasr S.C. | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 7 |  Samail | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.