Krylia Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Krylia Sovetov IIvs
Khimik DzerzhinskThe model puts Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 63%. The model leans toward Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk.
- +The head-to-head record favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk (0-1-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Krylia Sovetov II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Krylia Sovetov II at 17%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Krylia Sovetov II is priced at 5.33. The draw is priced at 4.15. Khimik Dzerzhinsk is priced at 1.47.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Krylia Sovetov II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Khimik Dzerzhinsk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Krylia Sovetov II or Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our model rates Khimik Dzerzhinsk as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Krylia Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Krylia Sovetov II wins, 1 draws, 3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 4 (Championship - Play-off)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 64:19 | 65 |
| 2 |  KDV | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 45:27 | 59 |
| 3 |  Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 58:40 | 50 |
| 4 |  Akron Tolyatti II | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 53:39 | 39 |
| 5 |  Dynamo Barnaul | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 37:59 | 31 |
| 6 | Krylia Sovetov II | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 29:31 | 30 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.