Vozdovac vs Napredak Krusevac: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vozdovacvs
Napredak KrusevacThe model puts Vozdovac at 46%. The model leans toward Vozdovac. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vozdovac.
- +The head-to-head record favours Vozdovac (7-5-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Vozdovac have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Napredak Krusevac have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vozdovac have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vozdovac is priced at 2.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vozdovac at 46%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Napredak Krusevac at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vozdovac is priced at 2.31. The draw is priced at 3.44. Napredak Krusevac is priced at 3.02.
Vozdovac have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Napredak Krusevac have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vozdovac have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Vozdovac are on 2 wins in a row. Napredak Krusevac have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vozdovac or Napredak Krusevac?
Our model rates Vozdovac as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vozdovac vs Napredak Krusevac?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Vozdovac wins, 5 draws, 3 Napredak Krusevac wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Serbia. 1st League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borac Cacak | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:13 | 25 |
| 2 |  TSC Backa Topola | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Smederevo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  OFK Vrsac | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Javor Ivanjica | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 26:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Metalac Gornji Milanovac | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 17 |
| 7 |  Spartak Subotica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 8 |  Loznica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 |  Dubocica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Vozdovac | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Napredak Krusevac | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 |  Proleter Zrenjanin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 13 |  Graficar Beograd | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Bor 1919 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7:19 | 8 |
| 15 |  Jedinstvo Ub | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 16 |  Teleoptik | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12:23 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.