Samail vs Dhofar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Samailvs
DhofarThe model puts Dhofar at 55%. Dhofar is priced at 1.68. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dhofar.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dhofar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Samail have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Dhofar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Samail have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model puts Dhofar at 55%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Samail at 19%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 47% for both teams to score.
The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings. Dhofar is priced at 1.68. The market leans toward Dhofar.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Samail or Dhofar?
Our model rates Dhofar as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Samail vs Dhofar?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Samail wins, 3 draws, 0 Dhofar wins.
Odds movement
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Sur Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Dhofar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Oman Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Fanja | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 6 |  Al-Nasr S.C. | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 7 | Samail | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.