Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster Harriers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Boreham Woodvs
Kidderminster HarriersThe model puts Boreham Wood at 66%. The model leans toward Boreham Wood. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Kidderminster Harriers.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Boreham Wood have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kidderminster Harriers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Boreham Wood have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Boreham Wood is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Boreham Wood at 66%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Kidderminster Harriers at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Boreham Wood. Boreham Wood is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 5.25. Kidderminster Harriers is priced at 7.1.
Boreham Wood have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Kidderminster Harriers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Boreham Wood have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kidderminster Harriers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kidderminster Harriers are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Boreham Wood or Kidderminster Harriers?
Our model rates Boreham Wood as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster Harriers?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Boreham Wood wins, 2 draws, 1 Kidderminster Harriers wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
England. National League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26:11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Southend United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 |  Harrogate Town | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 5 |  Aldershot Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Yeovil Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster Harriers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 8 |  Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 |  Worthing | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sutton United | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 12 |  Forest Green Rovers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 14 |  Halifax Town | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 15 |  Woking | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 16 |  Barrow | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 17 |  Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 18 |  Boston United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 |  Carlisle United | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 20 |  Scunthorpe United | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool United | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 |  Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 17:28 | 8 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9:26 | 4 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:24 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.