Japan (Women) vs South Korea (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Japan (Women)vs
South Korea (Women)The model puts Japan (Women) at 73%. The model leans toward Japan (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours South Korea (Women) (2-5-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Japan (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- South Korea (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Japan (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Japan (Women) is priced at 1.18.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Japan (Women) at 73%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts South Korea (Women) at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Japan (Women). Japan (Women) is priced at 1.18. The draw is priced at 5.5. South Korea (Women) is priced at 11.
Japan (Women) have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. South Korea (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Japan (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. South Korea (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Japan (Women) or South Korea (Women)?
Our model rates Japan (Women) as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Japan (Women) vs South Korea (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Japan (Women) wins, 5 draws, 8 South Korea (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.