North Korea (Women) vs China (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
North Korea (Women)vs
China (Women)The model puts North Korea (Women) at 65%. The model leans toward North Korea (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours North Korea (Women) (8-3-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- North Korea (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- China (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- North Korea (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- North Korea (Women) is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts North Korea (Women) at 65%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts China (Women) at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward North Korea (Women). North Korea (Women) is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 4.05. China (Women) is priced at 6.53.
North Korea (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. China (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
North Korea (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. China (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. China (Women) are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, North Korea (Women) or China (Women)?
Our model rates North Korea (Women) as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for North Korea (Women) vs China (Women)?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 8 North Korea (Women) wins, 3 draws, 3 China (Women) wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.