Sint Maarten vs Belize: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sint Maartenvs
BelizeThe model puts Belize at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sint Maarten have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Belize have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Belize is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sint Maarten at 35%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Belize at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sint Maarten is priced at 2.65. The draw is priced at 3.7. Belize is priced at 2.3.
Belize have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sint Maarten have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Belize have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sint Maarten or Belize?
Our model rates Belize as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sint Maarten vs Belize?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Sint Maarten wins, 0 draws, 1 Belize wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guyana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Dominica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Cayman Islands | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Puerto Rico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.