British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
British Virgin Islandsvs
MontserratThe model puts Montserrat at 78%. The model leans toward Montserrat. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- British Virgin Islands have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Montserrat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Montserrat is priced at 1.18.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts British Virgin Islands at 8%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Montserrat at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Montserrat. British Virgin Islands is priced at 11.9. The draw is priced at 6.75. Montserrat is priced at 1.18.
Montserrat have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
British Virgin Islands have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Montserrat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, British Virgin Islands or Montserrat?
Our model rates Montserrat as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 British Virgin Islands wins, 0 draws, 1 Montserrat wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montserrat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Turks and Caicos Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.