Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Montserratvs
British Virgin IslandsThe model puts Montserrat at 76%. Montserrat is priced at 1.18. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours British Virgin Islands.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The model leans toward Montserrat.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
- Montserrat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- British Virgin Islands have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- British Virgin Islands have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Montserrat at 76%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts British Virgin Islands at 11%.
Montserrat is priced at 1.18. The draw is priced at 6.55. British Virgin Islands is priced at 12.6. The market leans toward Montserrat.
Montserrat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. British Virgin Islands have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Montserrat or British Virgin Islands?
Our model rates Montserrat as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Montserrat wins, 0 draws, 1 British Virgin Islands wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League C| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montserrat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Turks and Caicos Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.