Jablonec II vs Hradec Kralove II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jablonec IIvs
Hradec Kralove IIThe model puts Jablonec II at 49%. The model leans toward Jablonec II. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Jablonec II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hradec Kralove II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jablonec II have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Jablonec II is priced at 1.82.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jablonec II at 49%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hradec Kralove II at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Jablonec II. Jablonec II is priced at 1.82. The draw is priced at 3.7. Hradec Kralove II is priced at 3.46.
Jablonec II have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Hradec Kralove II have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Jablonec II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hradec Kralove II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jablonec II or Hradec Kralove II?
Our model rates Jablonec II as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jablonec II vs Hradec Kralove II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Jablonec II wins, 5 draws, 6 Hradec Kralove II wins.
League table
Czech Republic. 3 Liga - Group B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SK Zapy | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Pardubice II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 4 |  SK Benatky nad Jizerou | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Mlada Boleslav II | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  Teplice II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 7 |  Banik Sous | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Varnsdorf | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 9 |  Horni Redice | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 10 |  Caslav | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sokol Brozany | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 13 |  Chrudim | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:17 | 6 |
| 14 |  Neratovice-Byskovice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 15 |  Slovan Liberec II | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 16 |  Velke Hamry | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6:21 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.