Southern District U22 vs North District U22: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Southern District U22vs
North District U22The model puts Southern District U22 at 40%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Southern District U22 is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Southern District U22 at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts North District U22 at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Southern District U22 is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.58. North District U22 is priced at 2.52.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Southern District U22 or North District U22?
Our model rates Southern District U22 as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Southern District U22 vs North District U22?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Hong Kong. Premier League U22| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tai Po U22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Kitchee U22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Hong Kong Football Club U22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | North District U22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Shatin U22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hong Kong Rangers U22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Eastern District U22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern District U22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Kowloon City U22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Eastern Sports Club U22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Lee Man U22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.