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Hong Kong. Division 2

Sun Hei vs Wing Yee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sun Hei Sun HeivsWing Yee Wing Yee
Our predictionSun Hei to win
Model score: Low · 25/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sun Hei at 39%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Sun Hei39%
Draw25%
2 · Wing Yee36%
1 · Sun HeiDraw2 · Wing Yee
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.59+11.9%
1X2Sun Hei2.29+0.5%
1X2Draw3.60-0.2%
1X2Wing Yee2.45-0.3%
BTTSYes1.42-11.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Sun Hei
54
Wing Yee
52

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.4%
0-18.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.4%
0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.41Sun Hei
xG
1.19Wing Yee
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sun Hei Wing Yee

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sun Hei win2.29Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceSun Hei or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sun Hei at 39%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Wing Yee at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Sun Hei is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.6. Wing Yee is priced at 2.45.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sun Hei or Wing Yee?

Our model rates Sun Hei as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sun Hei vs Wing Yee?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.783.403.012.632.24
Home 2.29 Draw 3.60 Away 2.45

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.