Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts PSIS Semarang at 77%. The model leans toward PSIS Semarang. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours PSIS Semarang.
- −The head-to-head record favours Persiku Kudus (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Persiku Kudus have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- PSIS Semarang have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Persiku Kudus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- PSIS Semarang is priced at 1.166.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Persiku Kudus at 9%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts PSIS Semarang at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward PSIS Semarang. Persiku Kudus is priced at 12. The draw is priced at 5.95. PSIS Semarang is priced at 1.166.
Persiku Kudus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Persiku Kudus have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. PSIS Semarang have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Persiku Kudus or PSIS Semarang?
Our model rates PSIS Semarang as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Persiku Kudus vs PSIS Semarang?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Persiku Kudus wins, 1 draws, 0 PSIS Semarang wins.
League table
Indonesia. Championship| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:5 | -1 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | -1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.