Kisvarda II vs Cigand: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kisvarda IIvs
CigandThe model puts Cigand at 55%. The model leans toward Cigand. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cigand.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kisvarda II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cigand have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kisvarda II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cigand is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kisvarda II at 20%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Cigand at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cigand. Kisvarda II is priced at 4.355. The draw is priced at 3.62. Cigand is priced at 1.66.
Kisvarda II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Cigand have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kisvarda II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cigand have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Cigand are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kisvarda II or Cigand?
Our model rates Cigand as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kisvarda II vs Cigand?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Kisvarda II wins, 1 draws, 2 Cigand wins.
League table
Hungary. NB III| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OZD-Sayovolgi | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Cigand | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21:6 | 21 |
| 3 |  DEAC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 | 17 |
| 4 |  Diosgyori II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 5 |  Godolloi | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fuzesabony | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mateszalkai MTK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 15 |
| 8 |  Debreceni VSC II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:20 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eger | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Kisvarda II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tiszaujvaros | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Tiszafuredi | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hajdunanas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 14 |  Salgotarjani BTC | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 15 |  Tarpa SC | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7:20 | 6 |
| 16 |  Nyiregyhaza Spartacus II | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 10:25 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.