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Hungary. NB III

Puskás Akademia II vs Balatonalmadi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Puskás Akademia II Puskás Akademia IIvsBalatonalmadi Balatonalmadi
Our predictionPuskás Akademia II to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Puskás Akademia II at 77%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Puskás Akademia II77%
Draw14%
2 · Balatonalmadi9%
1 · Puskás Akademia IIDraw2 · Balatonalmadi
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.29+22.3%
O/U 2.5Under 2.53.50+7.9%
1X2Puskás Akademia II1.18+0.2%
1X2Balatonalmadi9.85-0.1%
1X2Draw6.30-0.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.90Puskás Akademia II
xG
0.51Balatonalmadi
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score38%
Team strength rating
Puskás Akademia II
76
Balatonalmadi
36

Most likely scorelines

2-013.9%
3-013.5%
4-09.8%
1-09.6%
2-17.1%
3-16.8%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Puskás Akademia II Balatonalmadi

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Puskás Akademia II win1.18Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.22Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
032
11051
21472
31372
41051
563

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Puskás Akademia II at 77%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Balatonalmadi at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Puskás Akademia II. Puskás Akademia II is priced at 1.178. The draw is priced at 6.3. Balatonalmadi is priced at 9.85.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Puskás Akademia II or Balatonalmadi?

Our model rates Puskás Akademia II as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Puskás Akademia II vs Balatonalmadi?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Hungary. NB III
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Szombathelyi Haladas860224:720
2Tatabánya961223:820
3Dorogi861126:619
4Sarisapi Banyasz953115:1516
5Bicskei954023:2015
6Mosonmagyarovari TE841314:715
7Komarom VSE942316:1315
8Gyori ETO II943214:1014
9Sopron933312:1312
10Zalaegerszegi II935115:1710
11Puskás Akademia II835014:179
12Veszprem924314:219
13Papai Perutz82427:148
14Kiraly SZE91539:176
15Balatonalmadi81707:263
16SZAC Budapest90725:272
Promotion - Hungary. NB III (Promotion - Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.