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Japan. Japan Football League

Verspah Oita vs Azul Claro Numazu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Verspah Oita Verspah OitavsAzul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu
Our predictionVerspah Oita to win
Model score: Low · 31/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Verspah Oita at 40%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Verspah Oita40%
Draw30%
2 · Azul Claro Numazu30%
1 · Verspah OitaDraw2 · Azul Claro Numazu
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.85+2.6%
1X2Verspah Oita2.29+0.5%
1X2Draw3.02-0.3%
1X2Azul Claro Numazu2.94-0.3%
BTTSNo1.82-2.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Verspah Oita
54
Azul Claro Numazu
48

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%
1-011.0%
2-19.2%
0-18.2%
2-08.2%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.49Verspah Oita
xG
1.12Azul Claro Numazu
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Verspah Oita Azul Claro Numazu

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Verspah Oita win2.29Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceVerspah Oita or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1111273
28952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Verspah Oita at 40%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Azul Claro Numazu at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Verspah Oita is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.02. Azul Claro Numazu is priced at 2.938.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Verspah Oita or Azul Claro Numazu?

Our model rates Verspah Oita as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Verspah Oita vs Azul Claro Numazu?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.