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India. IFA Shield Tournament

Calcutta Customs vs Punjab FC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Calcutta Customs Calcutta CustomsvsPunjab FC Punjab FC
Our predictionPunjab FC to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Punjab FC at 71%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Calcutta Customs11%
Draw17%
2 · Punjab FC71%
1 · Calcutta CustomsDraw2 · Punjab FC
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.96+17.2%
1X2Calcutta Customs8.55+0.8%
1X2Draw5.20-0.2%
1X2Punjab FC1.25-0.6%
BTTSYes1.72-17.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Calcutta Customs
37
Punjab FC
73

Most likely scorelines

0-115.9%
0-215.7%
0-310.4%
1-18.6%
1-28.5%
0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.54Calcutta Customs
xG
1.98Punjab FC
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Calcutta Customs Punjab FC

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Punjab FC win1.25Fair (-0.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0816161052
1499631
21222
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Calcutta Customs at 11%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Punjab FC at 71%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Punjab FC. Calcutta Customs is priced at 8.55. The draw is priced at 5.2. Punjab FC is priced at 1.25.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Calcutta Customs or Punjab FC?

Our model rates Punjab FC as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Calcutta Customs vs Punjab FC?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.