Albirex Niigata (Women) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Albirex Niigata (Women)vs
Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) at 49%. The model leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Urawa Red Diamonds (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours Albirex Niigata (Women) (11-1-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Albirex Niigata (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Albirex Niigata (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) is priced at 1.84.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Albirex Niigata (Women) at 28%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds (Women). Albirex Niigata (Women) is priced at 3.505. The draw is priced at 3.56. Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) is priced at 1.84.
Albirex Niigata (Women) have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Albirex Niigata (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Albirex Niigata (Women) or Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)?
Our model rates Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Albirex Niigata (Women) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 Albirex Niigata (Women) wins, 1 draws, 3 Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 5 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 6 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 8 | Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 9 | Albirex Niigata (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.