Cerezo Osaka (Women) vs NTV Beleza (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cerezo Osaka (Women)vs
NTV Beleza (Women)The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 53%. The model leans toward NTV Beleza (Women). Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cerezo Osaka (Women) (7-3-0).
- −Recent form favours NTV Beleza (Women).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- NTV Beleza (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cerezo Osaka (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cerezo Osaka (Women) at 25%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts NTV Beleza (Women) at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward NTV Beleza (Women). Cerezo Osaka (Women) is priced at 4.605. The draw is priced at 3.92. NTV Beleza (Women) is priced at 1.57.
Cerezo Osaka (Women) have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cerezo Osaka (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cerezo Osaka (Women) are on 2 wins in a row. NTV Beleza (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cerezo Osaka (Women) or NTV Beleza (Women)?
Our model rates NTV Beleza (Women) as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cerezo Osaka (Women) vs NTV Beleza (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 7 Cerezo Osaka (Women) wins, 3 draws, 0 NTV Beleza (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 6 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | NTV Beleza (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.