Nagano Parceiro (Women) vs Nojima Stella (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nagano Parceiro (Women)vs
Nojima Stella (Women)The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 55%. The model leans toward Nojima Stella (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nojima Stella (Women).
- +The head-to-head record favours Nojima Stella (Women) (4-3-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nagano Parceiro (Women) have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nojima Stella (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nagano Parceiro (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nagano Parceiro (Women) at 21%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Nojima Stella (Women) at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Nojima Stella (Women). Nagano Parceiro (Women) is priced at 4.25. The draw is priced at 3.52. Nojima Stella (Women) is priced at 1.7.
Nagano Parceiro (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Nojima Stella (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nagano Parceiro (Women) have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Nojima Stella (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nagano Parceiro (Women) or Nojima Stella (Women)?
Our model rates Nojima Stella (Women) as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nagano Parceiro (Women) vs Nojima Stella (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Nagano Parceiro (Women) wins, 3 draws, 8 Nojima Stella (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Nojima Stella (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 6 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 9 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.