RB Omiya Ardija (Women) vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
RB Omiya Ardija (Women)vs
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)The model puts RB Omiya Ardija (Women) at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women).
- −The head-to-head record favours JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) (0-7-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- RB Omiya Ardija (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RB Omiya Ardija (Women) is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts RB Omiya Ardija (Women) at 44%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward RB Omiya Ardija (Women). RB Omiya Ardija (Women) is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 3.3. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) is priced at 3.385.
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
RB Omiya Ardija (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, RB Omiya Ardija (Women) or JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)?
Our model rates RB Omiya Ardija (Women) as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for RB Omiya Ardija (Women) vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women)?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 0 RB Omiya Ardija (Women) wins, 7 draws, 3 JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 5 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 6 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 8 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 9 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.