INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women)vs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women).
- +The head-to-head record favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) (4-3-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 2.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) at 35%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) is priced at 2.44. The draw is priced at 3.36. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) is priced at 2.41.
INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)?
Our model rates Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) wins, 3 draws, 8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) wins.
League table
Japan. League Cup. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba (Women) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Nojima Stella (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 |  RB Omiya Ardija (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 5 |  NTV Beleza (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 6 |  MyNavi Sendai (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 |  AS Elfen Saitama (Women) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 8 |  Urawa Red Diamonds (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 9 |  Albirex Niigata (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Women) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | INAC Kobe Leonessa (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:8 | 0 |
| 12 |  Nagano Parceiro (Women) | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.