Albacete Balompie vs Eibar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Albacete Balompievs
EibarThe model puts Eibar at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Eibar.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Albacete Balompie have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Eibar have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Albacete Balompie have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Eibar is priced at 2.795.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Albacete Balompie at 35%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Eibar at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Albacete Balompie is priced at 2.57. The draw is priced at 3.26. Eibar is priced at 2.795.
Albacete Balompie have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Eibar have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Albacete Balompie have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Eibar have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Eibar are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Albacete Balompie or Eibar?
Our model rates Eibar as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Albacete Balompie vs Eibar?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Albacete Balompie wins, 6 draws, 4 Eibar wins.
League table
Spain. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 2 |  Castellon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 3 |  UD Almeria | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 |  Girona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Real Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Leganes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 10 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 |  Sporting de Gijon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Granada | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Fortuna | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 16 |  Real Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 17 |  Andorra Andorra la Vella | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 19 |  Eldense | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 22 | Albacete Balompie | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:12 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.