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Thailand. 3rd Division

Hua Hin City vs VRN Muangnont: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hua Hin City Hua Hin CityvsVRN Muangnont VRN Muangnont
Our predictionHua Hin City to win
Model score: Low · 25/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Hua Hin City at 38%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Hua Hin City38%
Draw28%
2 · VRN Muangnont35%
1 · Hua Hin CityDraw2 · VRN Muangnont
Full team comparison →

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.4%
0-18.9%
2-18.8%
1-27.5%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Hua Hin City
53
VRN Muangnont
51

Expected goals

1.40Hua Hin City
xG
1.20VRN Muangnont
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hua Hin City VRN Muangnont

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Hua Hin City win2.40Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceHua Hin City or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.76+0.6%
1X2Hua Hin City2.40+0.6%
1X2Draw3.20-0.2%
1X2VRN Muangnont2.54-0.3%
BTTSNo1.91-0.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Hua Hin City at 38%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts VRN Muangnont at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Hua Hin City is priced at 2.4. The draw is priced at 3.2. VRN Muangnont is priced at 2.54.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hua Hin City or VRN Muangnont?

Our model rates Hua Hin City as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hua Hin City vs VRN Muangnont?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.363.092.822.552.28
Home 2.40 Draw 3.20 Away 2.54

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.