Ulaanbaatar vs Hunters: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ulaanbaatarvs
HuntersThe model puts Ulaanbaatar at 71%. The model leans toward Ulaanbaatar. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Hunters.
- −The head-to-head record favours Hunters (0-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ulaanbaatar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hunters have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ulaanbaatar is priced at 1.201.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ulaanbaatar at 71%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Hunters at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Ulaanbaatar. Ulaanbaatar is priced at 1.201. The draw is priced at 6.15. Hunters is priced at 8.75.
Hunters have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ulaanbaatar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hunters have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ulaanbaatar or Hunters?
Our model rates Ulaanbaatar as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ulaanbaatar vs Hunters?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Ulaanbaatar wins, 1 draws, 4 Hunters wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Mongolia. National Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Central Stallions | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Deren | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Khovd | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:8 | 6 |
| 4 |  Erchim | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 5 | Ulaanbaatar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Khovd Western | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 7 |  Amtat | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:12 | 3 |
| 8 | Hunters | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 9 |  Ulaangom City | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:14 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.