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Thailand. 3rd Division

Udon United vs Pitchayabundit College: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Udon United Udon UnitedvsPitchayabundit College Pitchayabundit College
Our predictionUdon United to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Udon United at 60%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Udon United60%
Draw24%
2 · Pitchayabundit College16%
1 · Udon UnitedDraw2 · Pitchayabundit College
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.53+5.6%
BTTSNo2.19+4.7%
1X2Udon United1.51+0.4%
1X2Pitchayabundit College5.67-0.1%
1X2Draw3.70-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.50Udon United
xG
0.87Pitchayabundit College
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score53%
Team strength rating
Udon United
66
Pitchayabundit College
40

Most likely scorelines

2-010.7%
2-19.4%
3-08.9%
1-08.6%
3-17.8%
1-17.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Udon United Pitchayabundit College

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Udon United win1.51Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.53Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0331
1973
211941
3983
4652
5321

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Udon United at 60%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Pitchayabundit College at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Udon United. Udon United is priced at 1.51. The draw is priced at 3.7. Pitchayabundit College is priced at 5.67.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Udon United or Pitchayabundit College?

Our model rates Udon United as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Udon United vs Pitchayabundit College?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.