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Tajikistan Cup

Sardor Tursunzoda vs Eskhata: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sardor Tursunzoda Sardor TursunzodavsEskhata Eskhata
Our predictionSardor Tursunzoda to win
Model score: Low · 26/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Sardor Tursunzoda at 38%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Sardor Tursunzoda38%
Draw25%
2 · Eskhata37%
1 · Sardor TursunzodaDraw2 · Eskhata
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.51+2.7%
BTTSYes1.45+1.4%
1X2Sardor Tursunzoda2.40+0.6%
1X2Draw3.59-0.2%
1X2Eskhata2.40-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.75Sardor Tursunzoda
xG
1.55Eskhata
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%
Team strength rating
Sardor Tursunzoda
53
Eskhata
52

Most likely scorelines

1-110.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%
2-26.8%
1-06.4%
0-15.7%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sardor Tursunzoda Eskhata

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sardor Tursunzoda win2.40Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceSardor Tursunzoda or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.51.51Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04642
1610842
269741
33542
4122
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sardor Tursunzoda at 38%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Eskhata at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Sardor Tursunzoda is priced at 2.4. The draw is priced at 3.59. Eskhata is priced at 2.4.

The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sardor Tursunzoda or Eskhata?

Our model rates Sardor Tursunzoda as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sardor Tursunzoda vs Eskhata?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.773.403.022.652.28
Home 2.40 Draw 3.59 Away 2.40

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.