Real Betis vs AD Ceuta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Betisvs
AD CeutaThe model puts Real Betis at 63%. The model leans toward Real Betis. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours AD Ceuta.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Betis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AD Ceuta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Betis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Betis is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Betis at 63%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts AD Ceuta at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Real Betis. Real Betis is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4.84. AD Ceuta is priced at 6.
Real Betis have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Real Betis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. AD Ceuta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Betis or AD Ceuta?
Our model rates Real Betis as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Betis vs AD Ceuta?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Real Betis wins, 0 draws, 0 AD Ceuta wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.