Curacao vs Nicaragua: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Curacaovs
NicaraguaThe model puts Curacao at 70%. The model puts Nicaragua at 11%. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Curacao.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Curacao have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nicaragua have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Curacao is priced at 1.35.
- Nicaragua is priced at 8.05.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Curacao have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Nicaragua have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Curacao is priced at 1.35. Nicaragua is priced at 8.05. The market leans toward Curacao.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Curacao or Nicaragua?
Our model rates Curacao as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Curacao vs Nicaragua?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Curacao wins, 1 draws, 0 Nicaragua wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Haiti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Dominican Republic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Costa Rica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 5 |  Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 6 | Nicaragua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.