CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica vs Puerto Rico: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Dominicavs

Puerto Rico

Our predictionPuerto Rico to win

Model score: Low · 20/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Puerto Rico at 48%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Dominica26%

Draw27%

2 · Puerto Rico48%

1 · DominicaDraw2 · Puerto Rico

Full team comparison →

Most likely scorelines

1-112.0%

0-111.8%

1-29.5%

0-29.3%

1-07.5%

0-07.4%

Team strength rating

Dominica

Puerto Rico

Expected goals

1.02Dominica

1.58Puerto Rico

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Dominica Puerto Rico

Key points

Puerto Rico is priced at 1.95.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Puerto Rico win1.95Fair

Double chancePuerto Rico or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	12	9	5	2
1	8	12	9	5	2
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.88+0.2%

1X2Dominica3.620.0%

1X2Draw3.450.0%

1X2Puerto Rico1.950.0%

BTTSYes1.82-0.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Dominica at 26%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Puerto Rico at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Puerto Rico. Dominica is priced at 3.615. The draw is priced at 3.45. Puerto Rico is priced at 1.95.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →