Roma (Women) vs Barcelona (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Roma (Women)vs
Barcelona (Women)The model puts Barcelona (Women) at 89%. The model leans toward Barcelona (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Barcelona (Women).
- +The head-to-head record favours Barcelona (Women) (0-0-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Roma (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barcelona (Women) have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barcelona (Women) is priced at 1.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 7 |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Roma (Women) at 3%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts Barcelona (Women) at 89%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Barcelona (Women). Roma (Women) is priced at 33. The draw is priced at 11.5. Barcelona (Women) is priced at 1.02.
Barcelona (Women) have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Roma (Women) have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Barcelona (Women) have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Barcelona (Women) are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 21% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Roma (Women) or Barcelona (Women)?
Our model rates Barcelona (Women) as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Roma (Women) vs Barcelona (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Roma (Women) wins, 0 draws, 3 Barcelona (Women) wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League. Women - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympique Lyonnais (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barcelona (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Benfica (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Arsenal L.F.C. (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Chelsea (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Internazionale Milano (Women) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Manchester City (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 |  Bayern Munich (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Paris Saint-Germain (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Real Madrid (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Roma (Women) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Juventus (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Austria Wien (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hacken (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  HB Koge (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Paris (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Servette Chenois (Women) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.